{
  "baseline": "Unadjusted prior-season PPR total for the identical player pool, including zero when a player did not appear in the target season.",
  "by_position": {
    "QB": {
      "interval_80_coverage": 0.7382716049,
      "mae_improvement_pct": -6.0751263176,
      "model_mae": 62.5084218815,
      "prior_season_baseline_mae": 58.9284444444,
      "rows": 405
    },
    "RB": {
      "interval_80_coverage": 0.8157216495,
      "mae_improvement_pct": 0.7021191622,
      "model_mae": 42.542564734,
      "prior_season_baseline_mae": 42.8433762887,
      "rows": 776
    },
    "TE": {
      "interval_80_coverage": 0.8075117371,
      "mae_improvement_pct": 2.9160430733,
      "model_mae": 26.5450631761,
      "prior_season_baseline_mae": 27.3423787167,
      "rows": 639
    },
    "WR": {
      "interval_80_coverage": 0.8250630782,
      "mae_improvement_pct": 3.7565026021,
      "model_mae": 36.3482468559,
      "prior_season_baseline_mae": 37.7669638352,
      "rows": 1189
    }
  },
  "by_season": {
    "2021": {
      "interval_80_coverage": 0.7857142857,
      "mae_improvement_pct": 0.5012092653,
      "model_mae": 42.646933681,
      "prior_season_baseline_mae": 42.8617607973,
      "rows": 602
    },
    "2022": {
      "interval_80_coverage": 0.8167456556,
      "mae_improvement_pct": -2.4206003109,
      "model_mae": 38.7898688351,
      "prior_season_baseline_mae": 37.8731121643,
      "rows": 633
    },
    "2023": {
      "interval_80_coverage": 0.8322368421,
      "mae_improvement_pct": -0.285545531,
      "model_mae": 38.6678631275,
      "prior_season_baseline_mae": 38.5577631579,
      "rows": 608
    },
    "2024": {
      "interval_80_coverage": 0.7833622184,
      "mae_improvement_pct": 2.8639873936,
      "model_mae": 40.1486876979,
      "prior_season_baseline_mae": 41.3324436742,
      "rows": 577
    },
    "2025": {
      "interval_80_coverage": 0.8166383701,
      "mae_improvement_pct": 3.6340067333,
      "model_mae": 36.682525204,
      "prior_season_baseline_mae": 38.0658404075,
      "rows": 589
    }
  },
  "configuration": {
    "feature_families": [
      "player-profile",
      "prior-fantasy-output",
      "passing-volume",
      "rushing-volume",
      "receiving-volume"
    ],
    "model_id": "current-ppr-ridge",
    "position_penalties": {
      "QB": 35.0,
      "RB": 35.0,
      "TE": 35.0,
      "WR": 35.0
    },
    "schema_version": "1.0",
    "source_signal_ids": [],
    "version": "0.2.0"
  },
  "design": "Rolling-origin next-season forecasts. Every fold trains only on earlier target seasons.",
  "model_version": "0.2.0",
  "overall": {
    "interval_80_coverage": 0.8072449319,
    "mae_improvement_pct": 0.8200558604,
    "model_mae": 39.3849458215,
    "prior_season_baseline_mae": 39.710594882,
    "rows": 3009
  },
  "passed": true,
  "schema_version": "1.0",
  "season_wins": 3,
  "test_seasons": [
    2021,
    2022,
    2023,
    2024,
    2025
  ]
}