{
  "role": "visualization_reviewer",
  "decision": "pass",
  "summary": "The model-authored figure_ref and table_ref text match the frozen analysis: 153/143 high-wind games, 871/822 calm games, the 31-game 20+ mph bin, and every body number (adjusted -1.39 points per 5 mph with -2.26 to -0.52; -0.020 EPA per 5 mph with -0.033 to -0.008; 42.3 vs 46.1 points; 52.1% vs 54.0%; 60.3% vs 58.0%; 0.056 vs -0.011) reconciles to analysis.primary_effects and adjusted_per_5_mph within rounding. The shared table rows also reconcile. The shared chart is a single-series error-bar plot with no color-only encoding and has an alt text that names population, units, span and the sparse bin; its remaining limitations (no per-bin game counts drawn on the chart, unlabelled right y-axis, generic 'NFL offense' suptitle that omits the outdoor/open regular-season qualifier, auto-scaled y-axes) are immutable shared-asset issues recorded as notes per the replay contract. One bounded warning on the dek's 'Above 20 mph' phrasing versus the 20+ mph (at or above) bin.",
  "findings": [
    {
      "severity": "warning",
      "check": "dek threshold wording vs binned definition",
      "evidence": "Dek says 'Above 20 mph, only 31 games exist' while analysis.sample.games_at_or_above_20_mph = 31 and the chart/table bin is '20+ mph' (at or above 20). Elsewhere the article correctly says '20+ mph' and 'reached 20+ mph'.",
      "recommendation": "Change 'Above 20 mph' to 'At 20+ mph' in the dek so the standalone summary matches the bin definition used in the figure caption and analysis."
    },
    {
      "severity": "note",
      "check": "figure_ref text accuracy",
      "evidence": "Authored figure_ref text: 'Neutral early-down dropback rate and pass EPA per dropback by reported wind bin. The 20+ mph bin rests on only 31 games and should not be read on its own.' Matches the chart's two panels (code selects neutral_dropback_rate and pass_epa_per_dropback) and analysis.sample.games_at_or_above_20_mph = 31.",
      "recommendation": "No change required."
    },
    {
      "severity": "note",
      "check": "table_ref text accuracy and denominators",
      "evidence": "Authored table_ref text states 153 high-wind games (143 for dropback rate) vs 871 calm games (822 for dropback rate), all four outcomes lower with no interval including zero, unadjusted. analysis.primary_effects: high_wind_games 153/143, calm_games 871/822; all differences negative; all ci_95_upper < 0.",
      "recommendation": "No change required."
    },
    {
      "severity": "note",
      "check": "shared table values vs analysis",
      "evidence": "Table rows 54.0%/52.1%/-1.8 pts (-3.4 to -0.4), 60.3%/58.0%/-2.3 pts (-3.4 to -1.1), 0.056/-0.011/-0.067 (-0.104 to -0.031), 46.1/42.3/-3.8 (-6.2 to -1.3) reconcile to primary_effects values 0.5398/0.5213/-0.0185 (-0.0335, -0.0037), 0.6028/0.5800/-0.0228 (-0.0340, -0.0114), 0.0563/-0.0110/-0.0673 (-0.1039, -0.0306), 46.09/42.31/-3.78 (-6.16, -1.34).",
      "recommendation": "No change required; immutable shared asset."
    },
    {
      "severity": "note",
      "check": "shared chart title population and frame (immutable asset)",
      "evidence": "_write_chart suptitle is 'NFL offense by reported game wind, 2018\u20132025' and does not name the outdoor/open regular-season population or the 1,323-game sample; the alt text and caption supply this, and the x-axis label 'Reported wind (mph)' gives units. Right-panel y-axis has no axis label beyond the panel title 'Pass EPA per dropback'.",
      "recommendation": "For a future regeneration of the shared asset, add 'outdoor/open regular-season games' to the suptitle and an explicit y-axis label on the EPA panel. Not a variant defect."
    },
    {
      "severity": "note",
      "check": "shared chart per-bin denominators and sparse bin emphasis (immutable asset)",
      "evidence": "The chart plots four wind bins with equal visual weight and does not annotate per-bin game counts; the 20+ mph bin (n=31, below the 100-game requirement in data_quality_blockers) is flagged only in the caption, alt text, and the authored figure_ref text. Y-axes are matplotlib auto-scaled rather than anchored, which is acceptable for mean-with-interval plots but can visually amplify a ~2-point dropback-rate gap.",
      "recommendation": "Future asset revision could print n per bin under the x tick labels and visually de-emphasize the 20+ bin. Not a variant defect; caption and authored text already carry the warning."
    },
    {
      "severity": "note",
      "check": "accessibility text",
      "evidence": "Alt text names both metrics with units, population (1,323 outdoor/open NFL games), span 2018\u20132025, and the sparse bin (n=31). Chart uses a single ink series with a lime marker fill and error bars; no information is encoded by color alone.",
      "recommendation": "No change required."
    }
  ],
  "artifacts_reviewed": [
    "article (ArticleDraft blocks: figure_ref wind-offense-by-bin, table_ref wind-primary-effects, title, dek, lead, email_subject, limitations, methods)",
    "article_markdown",
    "publication_assets.figures[wind-offense-by-bin] (alt, caption)",
    "publication_assets.tables[wind-primary-effects]",
    "generated/analysis.py (_write_chart)",
    "analysis.primary_effects",
    "analysis.adjusted_per_5_mph",
    "analysis.sample",
    "analysis.data_quality_blockers",
    "replay_review_contract"
  ],
  "model": "anthropic/claude-fable-5.1",
  "created_at": "2026-09-03T04:13:19.192063+00:00"
}