{
  "role": "citation_checker",
  "decision": "pass",
  "summary": "All central numeric claims in the article trace to the supplied analysis, all named artifacts appear in the SHA-256 inventory, source URLs are present for every claim, and the CC BY 4.0 license and nflverse attribution language match the provenance record.",
  "findings": [
    {
      "severity": "note",
      "check": "central-numeric-claims",
      "evidence": "Sample (1,323 games; 153 at 15+ mph; 871 below 10 mph; 31 at 20+ mph), all four primary effects (dropback 54.0%\u219252.1%, -1.8 pts, CI -3.4 to -0.4; completion 60.3%\u219258.0%, -2.3 pts, CI -3.4 to -1.1; EPA 0.056\u2192-0.011, -0.067, CI -0.104 to -0.031; points 46.1\u219242.3, -3.8, CI -6.2 to -1.3), the adjusted completion-rate effect (-0.8 pts per 5 mph, CI -1.1 to -0.4), and the average-target-depth null (CI crosses zero) all match analysis.json primary_effects, adjusted_per_5_mph, and sample exactly.",
      "recommendation": "None required."
    },
    {
      "severity": "note",
      "check": "artifact-inventory",
      "evidence": "Referenced artifacts (results.json, threshold-effects.csv, adjusted-effects.csv, adjusted-spline-effects.csv, season-sensitivity.csv, wind-offense-by-bin figure, generated/analysis.py) all appear in the evaluation_run artifact_hrefs and/or replay_experiment evidence_artifacts with SHA-256 hashes; the figure sha256 807ff8d5... is recorded in publication_assets; source SHA-256 values in evaluation_run.source_sha256 match the provenance records for all nine nflverse files.",
      "recommendation": "None required."
    },
    {
      "severity": "note",
      "check": "source-urls-and-license",
      "evidence": "Every claim in the claim ledger carries the nine nflverse source URLs, which match the provenance records; license is CC BY 4.0 with 'Data made available by nflverse contributors.' attribution and rights_status approved, consistent across all records.",
      "recommendation": "None required."
    },
    {
      "severity": "warning",
      "check": "source-recency",
      "evidence": "Data through the 2025 NFL season is disclosed in the article (data_through, lead, methods), and the article makes no current-player claims. The 2022/2023 weather-coverage limitation and the 20+ mph underpowering (31 games) are preserved in the limitations and body text, matching the analysis data_quality_blockers.",
      "recommendation": "None required; recency is adequately disclosed."
    }
  ],
  "artifacts_reviewed": [
    "analysis.json",
    "evaluation_run.json",
    "claim_ledger.json",
    "provenance.json",
    "publication_assets.json",
    "registration.json",
    "replay_experiment.json",
    "generated/analysis.py"
  ],
  "model": "z-ai/glm-5.3",
  "created_at": "2026-09-03T04:29:40.281419+00:00"
}