{
  "claims": [
    {
      "claim_id": "wr-round-one-rate",
      "evidence_paths": [
        "analysis.json",
        "data/drafted-wr-outcomes.csv"
      ],
      "kind": "numeric",
      "source_urls": [
        "https://github.com/nflverse/nflverse-data/releases/download/draft_picks/draft_picks.csv",
        "https://github.com/nflverse/nflverse-data/releases/download/player_stats/player_stats.csv",
        "https://github.com/nflverse/nflverse-data/releases/download/stats_player/stats_player_reg_2025.csv"
      ],
      "status": "supported",
      "text": "Round 1 wide receivers hit the registered top-36 outcome at 65.5%."
    },
    {
      "claim_id": "wr-day-three-rate",
      "evidence_paths": [
        "analysis.json",
        "data/drafted-wr-outcomes.csv"
      ],
      "kind": "numeric",
      "source_urls": [
        "https://github.com/nflverse/nflverse-data/releases/download/draft_picks/draft_picks.csv",
        "https://github.com/nflverse/nflverse-data/releases/download/player_stats/player_stats.csv",
        "https://github.com/nflverse/nflverse-data/releases/download/stats_player/stats_player_reg_2025.csv"
      ],
      "status": "supported",
      "text": "Day 3 wide receivers hit the registered top-36 outcome at 6.2%."
    },
    {
      "claim_id": "wr-causal-limit",
      "evidence_paths": [
        "analysis.json",
        "research-memo.json"
      ],
      "kind": "limitation",
      "source_urls": [],
      "status": "qualified",
      "text": "Draft capital is a predictive prior rather than a causal prospect grade."
    }
  ],
  "run_id": "2026-08-31T231023Z-rookie-wr-hit-rates-gh33449432433",
  "series_id": "rookie-wr-hit-rates"
}