{
  "artifacts_reviewed": [
    "analysis.json",
    "article.md",
    "claim-ledger.json",
    "data/drafted-wr-outcomes.csv",
    "data/first-three-seasons.csv",
    "data/hit-rates-by-round.csv",
    "data/hit-rates-by-tier.csv",
    "figure-specs.json",
    "figures/rookie-wr-hit-rate-by-round.png",
    "figures/rookie-wr-threshold-ladder.png",
    "provenance.json",
    "research-memo.json"
  ],
  "created_at": "2026-08-31T23:10:56.324250+00:00",
  "decision": "pass",
  "findings": [],
  "model": "z-ai/glm-5.3",
  "role": "code_methods_reviewer",
  "summary": "... The analysis is descriptive (round hit rates with Wilson intervals, pick-level logistic trend), not a predictive model, so baseline comparison and leakage are not at issue. The design matches the locked memo: full 2010\u20132023 drafted-WR cohort (n=445), zero production imputed for players with no weekly record, top-36 primary outcome preregistered, Wilson intervals, pick-level odds trend, and both required figures. Cohort cutoff at 2023 correctly ensures complete three-year windows given data through 2025, avoiding partial-window attrition bias; the limitation is disclosed. No code file is present in the artifact inventory, so the exact analysis script cannot be inspected; however, all required outputs are present and internally consistent (round ns sum to 445; tier rates match round rates; figure SHAs match the inventory), and the run is declared deterministic/offline-preregistered. Minor warnings: (1) no explicit random seed is recorded, though the pipeline appears fully deterministic (no resampling or stochastic fitting); (2) the pick-level logistic model's standard error/CI assumes independence of players within draft classes, which is not addressed; (3) the 2025 season is sourced from a separate per-season asset while 2010\u20132024 come from the weekly player_stats file, a provenance split that is documented but could introduce minor cross-file inconsistencies in PPR point definitions. None of these affect the central claim."
}