{
  "series_id": "weather-kickers-roof",
  "run_id": "2026-09-03T075656Z-weather-kickers-roof-gh33730616555",
  "claims": [
    {
      "claim_id": "weather-kickers-roof-sample",
      "text": "The registered sample gate for fixed/retractable roof recorded closed or dome vs outdoor/open contains 640 condition games and 1,487 control games through the 2025 NFL season.",
      "kind": "numeric",
      "evidence_paths": [
        "analysis.json#sample",
        "data/study-decisions.json"
      ],
      "source_urls": [
        "https://github.com/nflverse/nflverse-data"
      ],
      "status": "supported"
    },
    {
      "claim_id": "weather-kickers-roof-field_goal_attempts",
      "text": "Combined field-goal attempts averaged 4.06 in dome or closed roof games and 3.80 in outdoor or open roof games; the adjusted change was +0.25 attempts with a 95% interval from +0.09 attempts to +0.42 attempts and a Holm-adjusted p-value of 0.005.",
      "kind": "numeric",
      "evidence_paths": [
        "analysis.json#effects",
        "data/study-effects.csv"
      ],
      "source_urls": [
        "https://github.com/nflverse/nflverse-data"
      ],
      "status": "supported"
    },
    {
      "claim_id": "weather-kickers-roof-field_goal_accuracy",
      "text": "Field-goal accuracy averaged 85.7% in dome or closed roof games and 84.2% in outdoor or open roof games; the adjusted change was +2.1 pts with a 95% interval from +0.3 pts to +3.9 pts and a Holm-adjusted p-value of 0.021.",
      "kind": "numeric",
      "evidence_paths": [
        "analysis.json#effects",
        "data/study-effects.csv"
      ],
      "source_urls": [
        "https://github.com/nflverse/nflverse-data"
      ],
      "status": "supported"
    },
    {
      "claim_id": "weather-kickers-roof-kicker_fantasy_points",
      "text": "Combined kicker fantasy points averaged 17.4 in dome or closed roof games and 15.6 in outdoor or open roof games; the adjusted change was +1.7 points with a 95% interval from +1.1 points to +2.2 points and a Holm-adjusted p-value of <0.001.",
      "kind": "numeric",
      "evidence_paths": [
        "analysis.json#effects",
        "data/study-effects.csv"
      ],
      "source_urls": [
        "https://github.com/nflverse/nflverse-data"
      ],
      "status": "supported"
    },
    {
      "claim_id": "weather-kickers-roof-scope",
      "text": "The estimates are retrospective associations from observed game conditions; they do not establish causality or prove that a pregame weather forecast improves fantasy projections.",
      "kind": "limitation",
      "evidence_paths": [
        "analysis.json#estimand",
        "data/registration.json"
      ],
      "source_urls": [
        "https://github.com/nflverse/nflverse-data"
      ],
      "status": "supported"
    }
  ]
}