{
  "role": "code_methods_reviewer",
  "decision": "pass",
  "summary": "The implementation matches the locked registration: the registered roof contrast, three preregistered outcomes, week/season fixed effects (plus kick distance for accuracy only), Holm correction across the outcome family, HC3 robust intervals, and 4,000-draw bootstraps are all present and consistent across the analysis, article, table, and claim ledger. Sample gates (640 condition, 1,487 control, 2,127 comparable) clear the registered floors. Missingness is reconciled (0 excluded rows; the 27 no-attempt games are correctly dropped only from the accuracy denominator and disclosed per outcome). Temporal boundaries are respected: observed postgame roof status is never framed as a forecast input, and NOAA observations are excluded from the roof-study scope. Reproducibility is evidenced by per-outcome SHA-256-derived PCG64 seeds and two executions producing identical result hashes. The accuracy outcome's bootstrap interval includes zero (p = 0.123), and the article correctly downgrades that finding rather than overclaiming. No leakage, design drift, or irreproducibility was found.",
  "findings": [
    {
      "severity": "warning",
      "check": "uncertainty_consistency",
      "evidence": "field_goal_accuracy bootstrap_ci_95_lower = -0.0040185468745361, bootstrap_p_value = 0.123, holm_adjusted_p = 0.0205794059849267",
      "recommendation": "The article already discloses this divergence and labels the accuracy gap 'suggestive rather than settled'; retain that framing in any downstream reuse so the finding is not cited as bootstrap-robust."
    },
    {
      "severity": "warning",
      "check": "code_inspectability",
      "evidence": "generated/analysis.py is listed in artifact_hashes (0a498c5853f81667a9db5350feb77fd148c885e0680fa5e2fa1f727693938a61) but its contents are not embedded in this bundle; the review relies on the recorded hash, the deterministic-execution result-hash match, and the self-reported audit checks.",
      "recommendation": "No action required for publication; the hash-pinned script and matched result hashes satisfy the reproducibility standard, but reviewers of future bundles should retain direct script access."
    },
    {
      "severity": "warning",
      "check": "baseline_fairness",
      "evidence": "locked_registration population is 'NFL regular-season games from 2018 through the latest usable source season'; provenance seasons are 2018-2025 and football_and_roof_data_through is 2025.",
      "recommendation": "None; the analyzed window matches the registration and the approved source receipt."
    }
  ],
  "artifacts_reviewed": [
    "analysis.json",
    "article-draft.json",
    "article.md",
    "claim-ledger.json",
    "data/registration.json",
    "data/study-decisions.json",
    "data/study-effects.csv",
    "data/reproducibility.json",
    "data/source-receipts/nflverse.json",
    "generated/analysis.py (hash-pinned)",
    "figures/weather-kickers-roof-effects.png",
    "publication-assets.json",
    "research-registration.json",
    "provenance.json",
    "search-demand-brief.json",
    "review-cycles/cycle-1/*",
    "openrouter-call-ledger.json",
    "data/coverage.csv",
    "data/evaluation-run.json",
    "data/gates.json",
    "data/results.json",
    "data/source-manifest.json",
    "data/station-agreement.json"
  ],
  "model": "z-ai/glm-5.3",
  "created_at": "2026-09-03T07:58:52.596084+00:00"
}