{
  "role": "code_methods_reviewer",
  "decision": "pass",
  "summary": "The implementation matches the locked registration: the roof-state contrast, four preregistered outcomes, week/season and home/away-team fixed effects, HC3 robust intervals, Holm correction, and deterministic SHA-256-derived bootstrap seeds are all present and internally consistent. Sample gates (640 condition, 1,487 control, 2,127 comparable) clear the registered floors, missingness reconciles with zero exclusions, per-outcome denominators are fully accounted, NOAA observations are correctly excluded from this roof-state study, and the article consistently frames results as retrospective association rather than causation or a forecast input. Two executions produced identical result hashes, supporting reproducibility.",
  "findings": [
    {
      "severity": "warning",
      "check": "uncertainty",
      "evidence": "For total_points the bootstrap interval (+2.2 to +4.8, p = 0.0) is centered near the unadjusted difference (+3.5), not the adjusted difference (-2.1); the same pattern holds for pass_epa_per_dropback (bootstrap -0.019 to +0.022 vs adjusted -0.050). The game-level bootstrap appears to resample the unadjusted contrast rather than the adjusted estimand, so the two reported uncertainty methods do not target the same quantity.",
      "recommendation": "State explicitly in the methods that the bootstrap quantifies the unadjusted venue contrast while HC3 intervals quantify the adjusted estimand, or add a bootstrap of the adjusted (fixed-effects) estimate so the two intervals address the same question."
    },
    {
      "severity": "warning",
      "check": "uncertainty",
      "evidence": "bootstrap_p_value of exactly 0.0 for total_points with 4,000 draws is reported without a note that zero-tail bootstrap p-values are typically floored (e.g., at 1/(B+1)).",
      "recommendation": "Report the bootstrap p-value as < 1/4000 or apply a standard floor to avoid implying exact certainty."
    },
    {
      "severity": "warning",
      "check": "reproducibility",
      "evidence": "Only the SHA-256 hash of generated/analysis.py is provided in the artifact inventory; the code itself is not inspectable in this bundle, so the seed derivation, HC3 implementation, and fixed-effects construction were verified only via the reported audit flags and matching result hashes.",
      "recommendation": "No action required if the code artifact is retained and retrievable; note that this review could not independently inspect the estimator code."
    }
  ],
  "artifacts_reviewed": [
    "analysis.json",
    "article-draft.json",
    "article.md",
    "claim-ledger.json",
    "data/registration.json",
    "data/results.json",
    "data/study-effects.csv",
    "data/reproducibility.json",
    "data/study-decisions.json",
    "data/source-manifest.json",
    "data/source-receipts/nflverse.json",
    "figures/weather-domes-offense-effects.png",
    "generated/analysis.py",
    "research-registration.json",
    "provenance.json",
    "publication-assets.json"
  ],
  "model": "z-ai/glm-5.3",
  "created_at": "2026-09-03T09:10:17.797050+00:00"
}