{
  "role": "code_methods_reviewer",
  "decision": "pass",
  "summary": "The implementation matches the locked registration: the registered contrast (open vs. closed roof within retractable-roof stadiums observed in both states), the four preregistered outcomes, the specified fixed-effect controls (plus the registered average field-goal distance control for the accuracy outcome), Holm correction across the outcome family, and the registered uncertainty plan (4,000 bootstrap draws plus HC3 robust intervals). Sample gates (41 condition, 292 control, 333 comparable vs. floors of 30/250) are satisfied and reported. Only approved nflverse inputs are used; NOAA observations are explicitly excluded from all outcomes, matching the registered roof-state contrast. Temporal handling is correct: recorded roof state is treated as a postgame observation and never framed as a pregame forecast feature, consistent with the registration's temporal split. Missingness reconciles (2,127 input rows = 333 analyzed + 1,794 excluded), and per-outcome denominators are accounted for, including the 5 games where field-goal accuracy is undefined. Reproducibility is evidenced: per-outcome SHA-256-derived seeds, 4,000 repetitions, and two complete executions producing identical result hashes. All required outputs (results table, effect figure, claim ledger, artifact hashes) are present, and article numbers match the analysis JSON exactly. No leakage, design drift, or irreproducibility found.",
  "findings": [
    {
      "severity": "warning",
      "check": "missingness",
      "evidence": "missing_by_field lists all 1,794 excluded rows under a single bucket 'outside_registered_contrast_or_incomplete', so rows dropped for being outside the contrast cannot be distinguished from rows dropped for incomplete data.",
      "recommendation": "Split the exclusion breakdown into separate counts for outside-contrast vs. incomplete-roof-state records so attrition is fully auditable."
    },
    {
      "severity": "warning",
      "check": "uncertainty",
      "evidence": "For kicker_fantasy_points, the HC3 adjusted interval (+0.47 to +5.49) excludes zero while the bootstrap interval (-0.97 to +3.25) includes it and the Holm-adjusted p is 0.060; the article treats the result as suggestive, which is appropriate, but the two interval methods disagree on significance.",
      "recommendation": "Note in the article or methods that the bootstrap and HC3 intervals diverge for this outcome, reinforcing the suggestive reading."
    },
    {
      "severity": "warning",
      "check": "hypothesis_direction",
      "evidence": "The locked hypothesis predicts open-roof games have lower scoring, passing efficiency, field-goal accuracy, and kicker points, but all four adjusted differences are positive; the article reports the associations without claiming confirmation of the directional hypothesis.",
      "recommendation": "No change required; the association framing is correct, but the article could explicitly state the observed direction was opposite to the registered hypothesis."
    }
  ],
  "artifacts_reviewed": [
    "analysis.json",
    "article.md",
    "article-draft.json",
    "claim-ledger.json",
    "data/registration.json",
    "data/results.json",
    "data/study-effects.csv",
    "data/study-decisions.json",
    "data/reproducibility.json",
    "data/gates.json",
    "data/source-manifest.json",
    "data/source-receipts/nflverse.json",
    "figures/weather-open-closed-roof-effects.png",
    "generated/analysis.py",
    "provenance.json",
    "publication-assets.json",
    "research-registration.json",
    "search-demand-brief.json"
  ],
  "model": "z-ai/glm-5.3",
  "created_at": "2026-09-03T09:35:21.657654+00:00"
}