{
  "role": "code_methods_reviewer",
  "decision": "pass",
  "summary": "The bundle is internally consistent with the locked registration. The registered contrast (observed 15+ mph vs below 10 mph), the locked 10/12/15 mph ladder, the three preregistered outcomes, controls (week/season FE, temperature; field-goal distance only for accuracy), HC3 robust intervals, 4,000-draw bootstrap with SHA-256-derived seeds, and Holm correction across the nine-comparison family all match the registration. Two independent execution hashes matched. Denominators reconcile per outcome (accuracy undefined in 13/13/12 games with no team FG attempt), missingness is documented (2127 input, 908 analyzed, 1219 excluded as outside the registered contrast or incomplete), and sample gates clear (908 comparable vs 750 floor; 101 condition vs 100 floor). Numeric claims in the article, table, and claim ledger trace to the effect estimates. Temporal boundary is respected: observed postgame weather is used only for retrospective association, never as a forecast input; football data through 2025 but weather-limited estimates stop at 2024, consistent with the source-lag handling. No leakage, design drift, or irreproducibility was found.",
  "findings": [
    {
      "severity": "warning",
      "check": "baseline_fairness",
      "evidence": "Controls omit continuous wind by registered design (wind defines treatment), so residual confounding within the below-10-mph control group and between threshold bands cannot be excluded; the article correctly scopes all results to association.",
      "recommendation": "No action required; the limitation is already stated in the article."
    },
    {
      "severity": "warning",
      "check": "missingness_and_attrition",
      "evidence": "The 15+ mph field-goal-accuracy condition arm sits exactly at the registered floor (100 games, vs 101 for the attempts/fantasy outcomes) and produces an interval spanning zero (-7.3 to +2.0 pts).",
      "recommendation": "The article already presents this as a null finding; keep this framing unchanged."
    },
    {
      "severity": "warning",
      "check": "reproducibility",
      "evidence": "Bootstrap p-values are quantized to 0.0025 increments, consistent with 4,000 repetitions, but the analysis code itself (generated/analysis.py) is present only as a hash; the code could not be line-by-line audited.",
      "recommendation": "None; the seed policy, repetition count, and identical execution hashes provide adequate reproducibility evidence for the reported quantities."
    },
    {
      "severity": "warning",
      "check": "freshness",
      "evidence": "Freshness expectation was the 2025 season, but observed-weather coverage stops at 2024; the estimates therefore exclude 2025.",
      "recommendation": "The article already discloses the 2024 cutoff; retain the explicit limitation."
    }
  ],
  "artifacts_reviewed": [
    "analysis.json",
    "article-draft.json",
    "article.md",
    "claim-ledger.json",
    "data/registration.json",
    "data/results.json",
    "data/study-effects.csv",
    "data/reproducibility.json",
    "data/gates.json",
    "data/station-agreement.json",
    "data/source-manifest.json",
    "data/study-decisions.json",
    "figures/weather-kickers-wind-effects.png",
    "generated/analysis.py",
    "research-registration.json",
    "provenance.json",
    "publication-assets.json"
  ],
  "model": "z-ai/glm-5.3",
  "created_at": "2026-09-03T10:19:55.692761+00:00"
}