{
  "role": "code_methods_reviewer",
  "decision": "pass",
  "summary": "The implementation matches the locked registration: the observed 15+ mph vs below-10-mph contrast, the three preregistered outcomes, week/season fixed effects plus air temperature controls, Holm correction across the outcome family, and both HC3 robust and 4,000-draw bootstrap intervals are all present and internally consistent. Sample gates (101 condition, 908 comparable) clear the registered floors, per-outcome denominator accounting is reconciled (one game with no eligible deep attempts is correctly undefined for the two efficiency outcomes), missingness is accounted (2,127 input rows, 1,219 excluded, 908 analyzed), and the observed-vs-forecast boundary is respected throughout the article and claim ledger. Deterministic seeds are SHA-256-derived per outcome with two matching execution hashes. The weather source lag (2024 vs 2025 play-by-play) is handled per the stated source-lag policy and the freshness minimum of 2024 is met. No design drift, leakage, or irreproducibility is evident.",
  "findings": [
    {
      "severity": "warning",
      "check": "uncertainty",
      "evidence": "For deep completion rate, the bootstrap 95% interval (-0.0726 to +0.0005) includes zero and the bootstrap p-value is 0.054, while the article's statement that 'both intervals exclude zero' refers only to the HC3 intervals.",
      "recommendation": "The article already flags the Holm-adjusted p-values as suggestive, but it could note that the bootstrap interval for completion rate grazes zero, since the two uncertainty methods diverge slightly for that outcome."
    },
    {
      "severity": "warning",
      "check": "claim_support",
      "evidence": "The lead paragraph states 'the answer is clearly the second' for the volume-vs-efficiency question, while both efficiency outcomes carry Holm-adjusted p-values of 0.094, above the conventional 0.05 bar acknowledged later in the same article.",
      "recommendation": "Soften 'clearly' to match the suggestive-not-settled framing the article itself applies two paragraphs later; the limitations section already covers this correctly."
    }
  ],
  "artifacts_reviewed": [
    "analysis.json",
    "article-draft.json",
    "article.md",
    "claim-ledger.json",
    "data/registration.json",
    "data/results.json",
    "data/study-effects.csv",
    "data/reproducibility.json",
    "data/station-agreement.json",
    "data/study-decisions.json",
    "data/source-manifest.json",
    "data/source-receipts/nflverse.json",
    "data/source-receipts/noaa-global-hourly.json",
    "data/source-receipts/wikidata-stadiums.json",
    "generated/analysis.py",
    "figures/weather-deep-targets-wind-effects.png",
    "provenance.json",
    "publication-assets.json",
    "research-registration.json",
    "search-demand-brief.json"
  ],
  "model": "z-ai/glm-5.3",
  "created_at": "2026-09-03T10:25:58.812284+00:00"
}
