{
  "role": "code_methods_reviewer",
  "decision": "pass",
  "summary": "The implementation matches the locked registration: the 15+ mph vs below 10 mph contrast, the five preregistered position outcomes, week/season fixed effects with temperature and home/away team controls, HC3 robust intervals, 4,000-draw bootstraps with SHA-256-derived per-outcome seeds, and Holm correction across the outcome family are all present and internally consistent. Sample gates (101 condition, 806 control, 907 comparable) clear the registered floors. Missingness reconciles (2,127 input rows = 907 analyzed + 1,220 excluded + 1 weekly-scoring gap), per-outcome denominators are complete, and the study correctly stops at 2024 because the NOAA weather source lags the 2025 football data, satisfying the freshness minimum of 2024. The article respects the observed-versus-forecast boundary, reports null results as nulls, and every numeric claim traces to the effects data. No design drift, leakage, unsafe execution, or irreproducibility was found.",
  "findings": [
    {
      "severity": "warning",
      "check": "uncertainty reporting",
      "evidence": "Article and results table report Holm-adjusted p-values and HC3 intervals but omit the bootstrap p-values and bootstrap intervals that the analysis computes for each outcome.",
      "recommendation": "Consider surfacing the bootstrap interval or p-value alongside the HC3 interval in the table or methods text, since the registration specifies both uncertainty channels."
    },
    {
      "severity": "warning",
      "check": "missingness transparency",
      "evidence": "The 1,220 excluded rows are attributed to 'outside_registered_contrast_or_incomplete' as a single bucket, so the article cannot distinguish games dropped for the 10-15 mph gap from games dropped for incomplete position scoring.",
      "recommendation": "Split the exclusion bucket by reason in data/study-decisions.json so readers can verify that exclusions are contrast-driven rather than outcome-driven."
    }
  ],
  "artifacts_reviewed": [
    "analysis.json",
    "article-draft.json",
    "article.md",
    "claim-ledger.json",
    "data/registration.json",
    "data/study-decisions.json",
    "data/study-effects.csv",
    "data/reproducibility.json",
    "data/gates.json",
    "data/source-manifest.json",
    "data/source-receipts/nflverse.json",
    "data/source-receipts/noaa-global-hourly.json",
    "data/source-receipts/wikidata-stadiums.json",
    "data/station-agreement.json",
    "data/weekly-position-coverage.json",
    "figures/weather-fantasy-volatility-effects.png",
    "generated/analysis.py",
    "provenance.json",
    "research-registration.json",
    "publication-assets.json"
  ],
  "model": "z-ai/glm-5.3",
  "created_at": "2026-09-03T10:40:15.263369+00:00"
}