{
  "role": "researcher",
  "decision": "pass",
  "summary": "The executed analysis matches the locked preregistration: registered contrast (15+ mph vs below 10 mph observed wind), five preregistered position outcomes, week/season/temperature/team controls, HC3 robust intervals plus 4,000-draw bootstraps, Holm correction, and the registered withholding gates (101 condition games, 907 comparable games). All required artifacts are present with hashes, the claim ledger is supported, and the article correctly reports null results with adjusted uncertainty beside each estimate. Predictive/forecast claims are explicitly separated from retrospective association claims, and causal language is avoided.",
  "findings": [
    {
      "severity": "note",
      "check": "registration_match",
      "evidence": "analysis.json contrast, estimand, outcomes, controls, and uncertainty all match locked_registration; sample gates (101 condition, 907 comparable) clear the registered floors of 100 and 750.",
      "recommendation": ":null},{"
    },
    {
      "severity": "note",
      "check": "claim_separation",
      "evidence": "The article and claim ledger state the estimates are retrospective associations, not causal effects and not pregame forecast inputs; the temporal_validation and leakage checks pass.",
      "recommendation": ":null"
    },
    {
      "severity": "warning",
      "check": "scope_limitation",
      "evidence": "Weather observations run only through the 2024 season while football data run through 2025; the freshness requirement expects 2025 but permits a 2024 minimum, and the source lag is disclosed with a documented retry-on-refresh handling.",
      "recommendation": "The article already discloses the 2024 cutoff in the title, lead, methods, and limitations; no change required."
    },
    {
      "severity": "note",
      "check": "artifact_completeness",
      "evidence": "All required artifacts (registration, results, effects CSV, reproducibility, station agreement, coverage, gates, figure, provenance receipts) are present with SHA-256 hashes; two complete analysis executions produced identical result hashes.",
      "recommendation": ":null"
    }
  ],
  "artifacts_reviewed": [
    "analysis.json",
    "article-draft.json",
    "article.md",
    "claim-ledger.json",
    "data/registration.json",
    "data/results.json",
    "data/study-effects.csv",
    "data/reproducibility.json",
    "data/station-agreement.json",
    "data/weekly-position-coverage.json",
    "data/gates.json",
    "data/source-manifest.json",
    "data/source-receipts/nflverse.json",
    "data/source-receipts/noaa-global-hourly.json",
    "data/source-receipts/wikidata-stadiums.json",
    "figures/weather-fantasy-volatility-effects.png",
    "generated/analysis.py",
    "provenance.json",
    "publication-assets.json",
    "research-registration.json",
    "search-demand-brief.json"
  ],
  "model": "z-ai/glm-5.3",
  "created_at": "2026-09-03T10:39:58.221114+00:00"
}