{
  "role": "code_methods_reviewer",
  "decision": "pass",
  "summary": "The implementation matches the locked registration: LOSO temporal validation over 2018-2025 with per-fold training counts that reconcile to 8,241 kicks, a distance-only expectation with no stadium term, game-clustered bootstrap uncertainty (seed 42) with Holm correction across the 28 eligible stadiums, pre-locked shrinkage (k=100), all registered sensitivities, fully reconciled missingness, deterministic two-run reproduction with identical hashes, and required outputs (figure, tables, preview) present. Interval-exclusion claims in the article match the deterministic numeric facts exactly (positive: Allegiant, Mercedes-Benz, SoFi; negative eligible: Raymond James). Eligibility flags are internally consistent with the 80-attempt/40-game rule. No leakage, design drift, or irreproducibility found.",
  "findings": [
    {
      "severity": "warning",
      "check": "baseline_comparison",
      "evidence": "locked_registration.baselines lists three baselines including a 'Distance-only logistic model (no season term)' and a 'Distance-and-season model without stadium adjustment'; analysis.research_audit.baseline_checks reports only the distance-only league make curve and raw make percentage.",
      "recommendation": "Report or explicitly justify the omission of the registered distance-only logistic baseline comparison; the binned curve is a reasonable substitute but the registration listed it."
    },
    {
      "severity": "warning",
      "check": "ranking_consistency",
      "evidence": "The article's headline positive ranking orders Mercedes-Benz (+0.0444) above SoFi (+0.0419) by unshrunk residual_per_attempt, but the registered ranking metric is the shrunken estimate, where SoFi (0.0336) ranks above Mercedes-Benz (0.0333).",
      "recommendation": "Order headline rankings by the registered shrunken metric or state explicitly which metric orders the display."
    },
    {
      "severity": "warning",
      "check": "input_provenance_naming",
      "evidence": "Withholding checks and claim C14 reference registered files 'games.csv, play_by_play_2018-2025.csv.gz', but provenance.json records eight per-season files (play_by_play_2018.csv.gz ... play_by_play_2025.csv.gz) plus games.csv; the single-URL in C14 (play_by_play_2025.csv.gz) does not cover all seasons read.",
      "recommendation": "Reconcile the registered file naming with the actual per-season downloads and list all pbp source URLs in the claim evidence."
    },
    {
      "severity": "warning",
      "check": "interpretation_framing",
      "evidence": "Article states 'only Allegiant, Mercedes-Benz, and SoFi clearing zero on the upside and only Raymond James on the downside' while also correctly noting none survive Holm correction; the email subject/preview lead with Raymond James 'clearing zero' without the multiplicity caveat in the subject line itself.",
      "recommendation": "Ensure distribution metadata (subject/preview) carries the same suggestive-not-significant framing as the article body."
    }
  ],
  "artifacts_reviewed": [
    "analysis.json",
    "article-draft.json",
    "claim-ledger.json",
    "deterministic-numeric-facts.json",
    "locked_registration",
    "provenance.json",
    "publication-assets.json",
    "artifact_hashes (determinism-run-1, determinism-run-2)"
  ],
  "model": "z-ai/glm-5.3",
  "created_at": "2026-09-03T21:44:58.155348+00:00"
}