{
  "role": "statistician",
  "decision": "pass",
  "summary": "The evidence bundle supports the article's central claims. Temporal leakage is well controlled (leave-one-season-out folds verified by per-fold training counts; partial 2026 season excluded; stadium identity never enters the expectation model). Row counts reconcile exactly (8,241 input = analyzed, 0 excluded, 0 missing on required fields). Interval zero-exclusion claims match the deterministic numeric facts exactly: eligible positive excluders are Allegiant, Mercedes-Benz, and SoFi; the sole eligible negative excluder is Raymond James; no eligible stadium survives Holm correction (smallest Holm p = 0.535, SoFi), and the article states this plainly. Sensitivity analyses are reported honestly, including the weaker 2021-2025 window (Spearman 0.844). The article retains visible warnings about multiplicity, window instability, unmodeled weather/venue covariates, and ineligible small-sample stadiums, and does not overclaim beyond them.",
  "findings": [
    {
      "severity": "warning",
      "check": "claims_match_estimand",
      "evidence": "locked_registration.metrics specifies 'Rank ordering of shrunken residuals'; article headline paragraph ranks by unshrunk residual_per_attempt, which places Mercedes-Benz Stadium (+0.0444) ahead of SoFi Stadium (+0.0419), whereas the shrunk estimates order SoFi (0.0336) slightly ahead of Mercedes-Benz (0.0333).",
      "recommendation": "Clarify in the headline paragraph that the displayed ordering uses unshrunk per-attempt residuals (the shrunk ordering swaps SoFi and Mercedes-Benz, a negligible difference), or rank by the locked shrunk metric. No numerical claim is incorrect."
    },
    {
      "severity": "note",
      "check": "uncertainty",
      "evidence": "AT&T Stadium is listed among the top positive residuals but its 95% interval (-0.0025 to 0.0819) includes zero per deterministic facts; the article reports the interval inline and does not claim significance, so this is handled correctly.",
      "recommendation": "None required; the article already frames all effects as suggestive given no Holm survival."
    },
    {
      "severity": "note",
      "check": "baseline_fairness",
      "evidence": "The adjustment controls only for kick distance and season; roof, surface, temperature, and wind were registered as descriptive only. Residual 'stadium' effects may partly reflect kicker talent composition and unmodeled weather rather than the building itself.",
      "recommendation": "The article already discloses this limitation; keep the caveat visible and avoid causal language about stadiums in future revisions."
    },
    {
      "severity": "note",
      "check": "multiplicity",
      "evidence": "Holm correction across the 28-stadium family yields no significant flags; the article's 'tiebreaker, not a bench decision' framing is appropriately calibrated.",
      "recommendation": "None."
    }
  ],
  "artifacts_reviewed": [
    "analysis.json",
    "article-draft.json",
    "article.md",
    "deterministic-numeric-facts.json",
    "claim-ledger.json",
    "research-registration.json",
    "provenance.json",
    "publication-assets.json",
    "tables/stadium-residuals-table.csv",
    "tables/sensitivity-rank-stability-table.csv"
  ],
  "model": "z-ai/glm-5.3",
  "created_at": "2026-09-03T21:44:41.098890+00:00"
}