FDL-003MEMBER
Weekly · PreseasonThe environment tiebreaker
ADP decisions updated for team efficiency, pace, implied totals, and market movement.
IN DEVELOPMENTRESEARCH LIBRARY / 02
Every take should
survive a test.
Studies, model updates, and decision tools. Each one ships with methods, data provenance, limitations, and a visible review trail.
ROOKIE WR HIT RATES
Round 1 buys a 63% shot. Day 3 buys 6%.
A complete-cohort test of 412 drafted receivers, with one definition and every miss retained.
Read the study →TOUCHDOWN REGRESSION
Touchdowns are mostly rented, not owned.
A volume baseline cut next-season forecast error by 8.9% across 551 player pairs.
Read the study →RECURRING SERIES
The workbench
Registered now. Implemented in sequence.FDL-004MEMBER
Tuesday · In seasonOpportunity, before points
Routes, targets, air yards, and role changes that arrive before the box score.
IN DEVELOPMENT